Business
Millions Face Loss of Up to £18,000 from State Pension Changes

Research indicates that millions of individuals currently in their early 50s may forfeit up to £18,000 if the state pension age increases to 68 sooner than anticipated. The rising costs associated with the state pension have led to discussions regarding a potential increase in the state pension age (SPA).
At present, the full rate of the new state pension stands at £230.25 per week, depending on an individual’s National Insurance contributions. The qualifying age for the pension is currently set at 66 and is scheduled to rise to 67 by 2028. While a further increase to 68 is not expected until the mid-2040s, speculation suggests that changes could occur sooner.
According to wealth management firm Rathbones, the government traditionally provides a 10-year notice period before any changes to the SPA. However, following an official review in 2029, the government could implement the increase between 2039 and 2041. This shift would particularly impact individuals currently aged 51, 52, and 53.
Rathbones’ analysis reveals that a 51-year-old today could lose approximately £17,774 if required to wait until age 68 for their full state pension. Meanwhile, a 52-year-old might miss out on £17,340, and a 53-year-old could lose around £16,918. These figures assume a minimum annual increase of 2.5% in the state pension, a provision included in the government’s triple lock pledge. The triple lock guarantees that the state pension will increase by the highest of inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5%.
Ministers have committed to maintaining the triple lock and have instructed experts reviewing the SPA to factor this commitment into their assessments. The government is legally required to evaluate the SPA every six years, with the next review due to conclude in March 2029.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves emphasized the necessity of reviewing the state pension age to ensure the system remains “sustainable and affordable.” She noted that as life expectancy rises, it is prudent to reassess the age at which individuals can start receiving their pensions. “As life expectancy increases, it is right to look at the state pension age to ensure the state pension is sustainable and affordable for generations to come,” Reeves stated. She further highlighted the need for a comprehensive review led by a team of experienced experts to examine all relevant data.
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